Match Info

Date: 12 August 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Paola Hibernians		Riga

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.7	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.76
	4.4	3.4	1.68
	4.55	3.6	1.79
	4.55	3.48	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.37)	3.47 ↑ (3.36)	1.76 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paola Hibernians
21.2%

Draw
26.5%

Riga
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

18.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paola Hibernians's form might have worsened.

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	26.7%	50%

Paola Hibernians - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Hibernians will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Riga will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. Neutral location - Centenary Stadium. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Recent matches Hibernians is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Riga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hibernians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Riga is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paola Hibernians
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Riga - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
27.07.21	Paola Hibernians - Folgore	4:2 ✺
20.07.21	Folgore - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Paola Hibernians - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
06.07.21	Flora Tallinn - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLL
- Riga FC
Latvian Cup
08.08.21	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Riga - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
29.07.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Riga	0:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
25.07.21	Metta - Riga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Riga - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Riga - Paola Hibernians	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
01.11.26	Ogre United - Riga	✺

Paola Hibernians - Riga