Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Riga		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	17	Watch
	1.3	5	7
	1.24	5	10	Watch
	1.21	5	11
	1.25	5.86	10.47
	1.35	4	7.5	Watch
	1.24	5.6	11.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)	5.1 ↑ (4.24)	10.67 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
73.3%

Draw
18.1%

Paola Hibernians
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

17.8%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	10%	13.3%

Riga - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Hibernians will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg. Neutral location - Daugavas stadions.

Riga in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hibernians is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Riga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Riga is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Riga to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Riga	0:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
25.07.21	Metta - Riga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Riga - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
17.07.21	Spartaks - Riga	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Riga - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWT
- Paola Hibernians
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.21	Paola Hibernians - Folgore	4:2 ✺
20.07.21	Folgore - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Paola Hibernians - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
06.07.21	Flora Tallinn - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.21	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLW

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