Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Paradiso		Basel II

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.65	2.92
	1.99	4.08	3.09
	2.34	4.02	2.54	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3
	1.93	3.88	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.63)	3.88 ↓ (4.01)	2.93 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradiso
45%

Draw
23.7%

Basel II
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

23.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

22.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paradiso's performance.

Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paradiso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paradiso - Basel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Senaya E. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, D'Agostino G. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Kurtishi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Benacquista L. ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, Senaya E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent form of Paradiso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Basel II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paradiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Paradiso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Paradiso	10	6	1	3	20:9	11	19
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19:19	0	15

Last Results with these Odds

Paradiso - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.47%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Paradiso
Swiss Promotion League
07.03.26	Bulle - Paradiso	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Paradiso - Zurich II	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Luzern II - Paradiso	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Paradiso - Brühl	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Paradiso - Taverne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLW
- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
07.03.26	Basel II - Grand-Saconnex	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Basel II - Bulle	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Zurich II - Basel II	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Basel II - Luzern II	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Black Stars Basel - Basel II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
30.08.25	Basel II - Paradiso	5:0
18.09.24	Paradiso - Basel II	1:3
23.03.24	Paradiso - Basel II	1:1
16.09.23	Basel II - Paradiso	1:3

Paradiso - Basel II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide