The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel II 48.9%
Draw 21.5%
Luzern II 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
21.3%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
21.5%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
The chances for Luzern II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Basel II - Luzern II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Muff P. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Ismaili E. ⚽,
40', Mahic E. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Hansal Y. ⚽,
58', 3 - 1, Hansal Y. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Rujkovci D. ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel II won 2.
In recent outings, Basel II has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Luzern II is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Basel II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Basel II is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Basel II has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.9:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Basel II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2.7:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Basel II
10
5
0
5
19:19
0
15
17
Luzern II
10
2
1
7
15:19
-4
7
Last Results with these Odds
Luzern II - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.6%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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