Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Paradiso		Bavois

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.5	2.35
	2.43	3.84	2.46
	2.54	3.87	2.4	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.38
	2.5	3.75	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.76)	3.69 ↑ (3.68)	2.41 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradiso
37%

Draw
24.9%

Bavois
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

24.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Bavois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paradiso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bavois could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paradiso - Bavois Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 1, Benacquista L. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, D'Agostino G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paradiso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paradiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Paradiso	10	6	1	3	20:9	11	19
16	Bavois	10	2	2	6	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Paradiso
Swiss Promotion League
28.03.26	Young Boys II - Paradiso	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Paradiso - Grand-Saconnex	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Paradiso - Basel II	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Bulle - Paradiso	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Paradiso - Zurich II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLL
- Bavois
Swiss Promotion League
28.03.26	Bavois - Basel II	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Bulle - Bavois	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bavois - Zurich II	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Bavois - Kriens	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Luzern II - Bavois	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
20.09.25	Bavois - Paradiso	3:2
15.03.25	Bavois - Paradiso	1:0
07.09.24	Paradiso - Bavois	1:0
18.05.24	Paradiso - Bavois	2:0
11.11.23	Bavois - Paradiso	1:2

Paradiso - Bavois: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide