Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Paradou		Mostaganem

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.98	3.25
	2.27	3.10	3.18	Watch
	2.27	2.98	3.28
	2.62	2.96	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradou
39.4%

Draw
30.8%

Mostaganem
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mostaganem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Paradou - Mostaganem Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paradou will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mostaganem will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paradou (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Paradou (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paradou (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Moussaoui T. (G) 8. Abdelkader M. 17. Bisker M. 34. Bouziani S. E. 35. Idder A. 24. Kermiche F. 25. Rafanomezantsoa L. 15. Ramdaoui M. 11. Soukkou M. 18. Tahri A. 12. Zaoui S. E.	23. M'Bolhi R. (G) 11. Askar A. 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. 5. Benlamri D. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 22. Bouguettaya A. 15. Boulkaboul C. 13. Lamri S. 26. Sryer B. 20. Toumi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Abdelkader M. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Paradou has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mostaganem's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paradou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paradou won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paradou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paradou AC
Algerian Ligue 1
22.10.25	MC Alger - Paradou	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Paradou - Kabylie	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Oran - Paradou	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Paradou - Olympique Akbou	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Ben Aknoun - Paradou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
17.10.25	Mostaganem - ASO Chlef	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	MC Alger - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Mostaganem - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Kabylie - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Mostaganem - Rouissat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
21.06.25	Paradou - Mostaganem	1:3
26.12.24	Mostaganem - Paradou	0:2
Algerian Cup
28.04.23	Paradou - Mostaganem	2:1

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