Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 7

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Paraguarí		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.05	2.98
	2.19	3.08	2.91
	2.26	3.36	3.03	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.25	3.05	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.67)	3.09 ↓ (3.16)	2.99 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguarí
40.4%

Draw
29.3%

Sportivo Carapeguá
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguarí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paraguarí's performance.

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraguarí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Carapeguá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paraguarí - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Escobar R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Paraguarí has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carapeguá is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sp. Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32:39	-7	39
8	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36:35	1	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.05.26	Resistencia - Paraguarí	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Paraguarí - 12 de Junio	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Sol de América - Paraguarí	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Paraguarí - Encarnación	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Paraguarí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.05.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - 3 de Noviembre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWW

Paraguarí - Sportivo Carapeguá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide