Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: OLYMPIC GAMES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL GROUP

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Paraguay U23		Venezuela U23

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
	2.5	3.3	2.65
	2.54	3.3	2.59
	2.47	3.26	2.73
	2.5	3.4	2.77	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)	2.67 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay U23
37.3%

Draw
28%

Venezuela U23
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Venezuela U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraguay U23 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezuela U23 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Paraguay U23 - Venezuela U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez A. (G) 2. Nunez A. 5. Flores G. 3. De Jesus R. 18. Rivas L. 15. Peralta F. 10. Viera W. 17. Leguizamon I. 8. Gomez D. 11. Gonzalez E. 19. Perez M.	1. Rodriguez S. (G) 3. Uzcategui R. 2. Vivas C. 4. Ferro A. 16. Rivas R. 7. Lacava M. 8. Segovia T. 14. Faya C. 6. Ortega B. 11. Bolivar J. 17. Martinez D.
Substitutes
4. Benitez G. 23. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 13. Cantero A. 7. Cardozo F. 16. Cardozo J. 20. Fernandez M. 12. Frutos R. (G) 6. Gomez M. 21. Lezcano R. 9. Parzajuk K. 14. Roman Torales F. J. 22. Talavera J. (G)	12. Benitez F. (G) 19. Castillo B. 20. Contreras A. 21. Custodio A. 22. Fulco P. (G) 23. Hernandez L. 9. Kelsy K. 13. Paz J. 18. Quintero J. 10. Riasco J. 5. Ruiz E. 15. Tamayo B.

Preview

Paraguay U23 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Venezuela U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venezuela U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paraguay U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay U23
Olympic Games - Football
08.02.24	Argentina U23 - Paraguay U23	3:3 ✺
05.02.24	Brazil U23 - Paraguay U23	0:1 ✺
02.02.24	Chile U23 - Paraguay U23	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Paraguay U23 - Peru U23	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Paraguay U23 - Uruguay U23	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWLWW
- Venezuela U23
Olympic Games - Football
08.02.24	Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23	1:2 ✺
05.02.24	Argentina U23 - Venezuela U23	2:2 ✺
01.02.24	Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23	3:1 ✺
29.01.24	Colombia U23 - Venezuela U23	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Ecuador U23 - Venezuela U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
15.11.19	Paraguay U23 - Venezuela U23	3:1

Paraguay U23 - Venezuela U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide