Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: OLYMPIC GAMES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL GROUP

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	DirecTV


	Venezuela U23		Brazil U23

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	3.75	3.6	1.87
	3.75	3.4	1.9
	4.08	3.45	1.84
	4.38	3.74	1.8	Watch
	4	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.77)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezuela U23
23.6%

Draw
26%

Brazil U23
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.7%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.3%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezuela U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Brazil U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Venezuela U23 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brazil U23 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Brazil U23 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez S. (G) 3. Uzcategui R. 2. Vivas C. (C) 4. Ferro A. 16. Rivas R. 17. Martinez D. 8. Segovia T. 14. Faya C. 7. Lacava M. 11. Bolivar J. 9. Kelsy K.	1. Mycael (G) 2. Khellven 4. Arthur Chaves 14. Lucas Fasson 18. Alexsander 20. Mauricio 7. Gabriel Pirani 5. Andrey Santos (C) 23. Gabriel Pec 9. Endrick 19. John Kennedy
Substitutes
12. Benitez F. (G) 19. Castillo B. 20. Contreras A. 21. Custodio A. 22. Fulco P. (G) 23. Hernandez L. 13. Paz J. 18. Quintero J. 10. Riasco J. 5. Ruiz E. 15. Tamayo B.	15. Bruno Gomes 21. Giovane 11. Guilherme Biro 22. Kaique Pereira (G) 13. Luan Patrick 10. Marquinhos 12. Matheus Donelli (G) 16. Rikelme 17. Ronald

Preview

Venezuela U23 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Brazil U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brazil U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brazil U23 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Venezuela U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezuela U23
Olympic Games - Football
05.02.24	Argentina U23 - Venezuela U23	2:2 ✺
01.02.24	Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23	3:1 ✺
29.01.24	Colombia U23 - Venezuela U23	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Ecuador U23 - Venezuela U23	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Venezuela U23 - Bolivia U23	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWTT
- Brazil U23
Olympic Games - Football
05.02.24	Brazil U23 - Paraguay U23	0:1 ✺
01.02.24	Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23	3:1 ✺
29.01.24	Brazil U23 - Ecuador U23	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Brazil U23 - Colombia U23	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Bolivia U23 - Brazil U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Football
01.02.24	Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23	3:1
Friendly
10.10.19	Brazil U23 - Venezuela U23	4:1

Venezuela U23 - Brazil U23