Match Info

CONMEBOL Nations League Women - Round 5

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Paraguay W		Ecuador W

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	2.1	3.3	3.37
	2.35	3.14	2.92	Watch
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.49	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.55)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	3.22 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguay W
43.3%

Draw
28.3%

Ecuador W
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguay W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paraguay W's performance.

Ecuador W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ecuador W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Paraguay W - Ecuador W Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paraguay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bobadilla A. (G) 2. Fretes L. EC Juventude 5. Riso T. 4. Martinez F. Guarani 17. Arrieta C. Gremio 8. Ramos C. Atletico-MG 23. Garay G. Olimpia Asuncion 14. Quitana D. Vilaverdense 9. Chamorro Gomez L. F. (C) Badalona 20. Gonzalez L. Vasco 11. Martinez Ovando C. Washington Spirit	22. Suarez L. (G) 6. Caicedo J. Independiente del Valle 2. Rodriguez M. (C) Gremio 4. Cuadra J. Barcelona SC 15. Baquerizo M. Granada CF 14. Pico F. 18. Flores R. 8. Burgos Cedeno E. E. 7. Arias E. 9. Bolanos V. Dep. Cuenca 20. Guerra M.
Substitutes
10. Acosta F. 15. Ayala Florentin C. M. Minas Brasilia 3. Bareiro D. Sport Extremadura CD 22. Chavez N. (G) Guarani 7. Fernandez R. U. De Chile 6. Godoy F. Guiniguada Apolinario 1. Lopez P. (G) Olimpia Asuncion 21. Martinez M. U. De Chile 18. Peralta A. Olimpia Asuncion 19. Riveros A. Avai Kindermann 13. Servin Y. 16. Talavera L.	19. Arboleda D. AC Milan 21. Barahona M. 5. Cedeno S. Atl. Nacional 13. Charcopa N. 10. Espinales J. Palmeiras 17. Litardo K. Independiente del Valle 1. Mendoza K. (G) Santos Laguna 12. Moran A. (G) Cerro Porteno 16. Pianda I. 23. Rodriguez L. 3. Zambrano A. Atl. Nacional

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ramos C. ⚽, Quitana D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Garay G. 🟨,
59', Guerra M. ↓, Arboleda D. ↑,
59', Garay G. ↓, Godoy F. ↑,
59', Gonzalez L. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
71', Pico F. ↓, Espinales J. ↑,
71', Flores R. ↓, Flores K. ↑,
73', Ramos C. ↓, Ayala Florentin C. M. ↑,
82', Burgos Cedeno E. E. ↓, Cedeno S. ↑,
82', Caicedo J. ↓, Charcopa N. ↑,
84', Chamorro Gomez L. F. 🟨,
88', Chamorro Gomez L. F. ↓, Riveros A. ↑,
90', Talavera L. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Arrieta C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ecuador W	8	3	2	3	8:6	2	11
7	Paraguay W	8	3	1	4	17:11	6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguay W
Friendly International Women
07.03.26	Paraguay W - Chile W	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Paraguay W - Chile W	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	USA W - Paraguay W	6:0 ✺
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
02.12.25	Chile W - Paraguay W	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Paraguay W - Uruguay W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Ecuador W
Friendly International Women
07.03.26	Ecuador W - Uruguay W	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Ecuador W - Uruguay W	2:3 ✺
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
02.12.25	Uruguay W - Ecuador W	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Ecuador W - Venezuela W	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Ecuador W - Colombia W	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
11.04.23	Paraguay W - Ecuador W	2:1
08.04.23	Paraguay W - Ecuador W	1:0
Copa America Women
20.07.22	Ecuador W - Paraguay W	1:2
Friendly International Women
12.04.22	Ecuador W - Paraguay W	1:1
09.04.22	Ecuador W - Paraguay W	0:1

Paraguay W - Ecuador W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide