The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paranavaí 32.7%
Draw 31.2%
Paraná Clube Curitiba 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
25.6%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
27%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paranavaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paranavaí's form might have worsened.
Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paraná Clube Curitiba's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranavaí than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paranavaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paranavaí - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Daniel Cruz 🟥,
45+7', 0 - 1, Elvis ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Cirilo ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Paranavaí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Paraná is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Paranavaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Paranavaí is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paranavaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Paranavaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.