Match Info

Chance Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: CFIG Arena (Pardubice)

Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1


	Pardubice		Chrudim

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.5
	1.43	4.75	6.5
	1.42	4.6	6.8	Watch
	1.38	4.3	6.1
	1.42	4.46	7.31	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.42	4.6	7.15	Watch
	1.42	4.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.55 ↑ (4.33)	6.58 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
65.5%

Draw
20.4%

Chrudim
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

20.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chrudim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pardubice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrudim than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Pardubice - Chrudim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Pardubice will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Vorel V. (G) 23. Surzyn M. 43. Noslin J. 3. Lurvink L. 12. Tredl J. 16. Sancl F. 18. Misek S. 24. Solil T. (C) 10. Kissiedou L. 28. Tanko A. 19. Kalabiska J.	1. Serak J. (G) 20. Kozojed J. 25. Toml M. 19. Skwarczek M. 16. Kosek D. 7. Kejr M. 4. Reznicek J. (C) 8. Hrubes J. 10. Bauer D. 21. Dolecek D. 9. Naprstek M.
Substitutes
39. Alijagic D. 30. Fousek A. 17. Krobot L. 25. Mahuta R. 8. Patrak V. 26. Simek S. 1. Simon A. (G) 13. Stejskal J. (G) 27. Sychra V. 7. Vacek K. 11. Yahaya M.	15. Boguaj D. 13. Chichak N. 28. Ciz L. (G) 18. Florica L. 17. Holub D. 3. Leitner P. 22. Shobowale A. 6. Skohoutil P. 59. Tlusty J. (G) 12. Wehowsky P. 5. Zaknic L.
Coaches
Strihavka D.	Tichai J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Skwarczek M. 🟨,
43', Kejr M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kissiedou L. ↓, Sychra V. ↑,
46', Tanko A. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Kalabiska J. ⚽, Sychra V. (A),
71', Kalabiska J. ↓, Patrak V. ↑,
71', Solil T. ↓, Vacek K. ↑,
73', Dolecek D. ↓, Holub D. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Misek S. ⚽, Sychra V. (A),
80', Tredl J. ↓, Mahuta R. ↑,
85', Kejr M. 🟨,
88', Hrubes J. ↓, Wehowsky P. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Pardubice is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Pardubice: Rama E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Chrudim: Cerny P. (Loan agreement) Darmovzal D. (Loan agreement)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga
25.05.25	Teplice - Pardubice	3:0 ✺
17.05.25	Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Pardubice - Dynamo České Budějovice	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Dukla Prague - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Slovácko - Pardubice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- MFK Chrudim
Czech Division 2
25.05.25	Sigma Olomouc B - Chrudim	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Chrudim - Zlín	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Chrudim	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Chrudim - Prostějov	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Chrudim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Tipsport Liga
18.01.25	Pardubice - Chrudim	1:0
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Pardubice - Chrudim	0:0
11.07.23	Pardubice - Chrudim	2:0
29.07.20	Chrudim - Pardubice	3:2
Czech Division 2
03.07.20	Chrudim - Pardubice	1:3
Club Friendly
15.05.20	Pardubice - Chrudim	1:1
Czech Division 2
02.11.19	Pardubice - Chrudim	4:0

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