The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dukla Prague 32.5%
Draw 29.6%
Pardubice 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.8%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
28.9%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pardubice's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dukla Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pardubice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Dukla Prague - Pardubice Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dukla Prague: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
59. Backovsky H. (G) 28. Unusic B. 4. Hunal E. 22. Traore M. 37. Pourzitidis M. 14. Tijani S. 19. Cermak M. (C) 47. Kreiker D. 15. Gilbert D. 6. Penxa L. 17. Pekhart T.
99. Kharatishvili L. (G) 40. Boledovic T. 43. Noslin J. 44. Bammens S. 5. Hamza J. 28. Tanko A. 26. Simek S. 19. Hlavaty M. 15. Godwin E. 8. Patrak V. (C) 9. Smekal D.
Substitutes
95. Cernak M. 30. Diallo B. 18. Hasek D. 31. Jagrik A. (G) 39. Kozma D. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 10. Mikus R. 11. Milla K. 3. Sehovic Z. 5. Velasquez D. 20. Zitny M.
90. Botos G. 16. Jelinek T. 39. Kopasek S. 17. Krobot L. 25. Mahuta R. 30. Mandous A. (G) 18. Misek S. 77. Saarma R. 12. Tredl J. 10. Vecheta F.
Coaches
Sustr P.
Trousil J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Hlavaty M. ↓, Jelinek T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Pekhart T. 🟨,
57', Penxa L. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
57', Unusic B. ↓, Kozma D. ↑,
57', Pekhart T. ↓, Milla K. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Patrak V. ⚽, Simek S. (A),
65', Patrak V. ↓, Botos G. ↑,
65', Boledovic T. ↓, Mahuta R. ↑,
69', Pourzitidis M. ↓, Sehovic Z. ↑,
69', Kreiker D. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
78', Gilbert D. ↓, Mikus R. ↑,
80', Diallo B. 🟨,
82', Sustr P. 🟨,
83', Smekal D. ↓, Tredl J. ↑,
86', Mikus R. 🟨,
86', Bammens S. 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Tijani S. (Own goal),
90+1', Tanko A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
90+1', Hunal E. 🟨,
90+5', Vecheta F. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 3.
Recent performances by Dukla Prague have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pardubice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cisse N.
(Injury)
Kadak J.
(Knee Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
Sehovic Z.
(Injury)
Svozil J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Pardubice: Konecny M.
(Knee Injury)
Samuel V.
(Elbow Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Prague won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).