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Current Win Probability
Pardubice B 52.5%
Draw 23.6%
Velké Hamry 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
25.1%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
23.9%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Velké Hamry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velké Hamry than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Pardubice B - Velké Hamry Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Prazak D. (G) 14. Becicka M. 30. Caslavka O. 19. Reil M. 4. Reznicek J. 21. Surzyn M. 17. Urban T. 27. Vancura T. 20. Vencl O. 24. Zelinger J. 11. Zima J.
1. Camrda S. (G) 4. Balaz P. 97. Bulir T. 75. Gebert V. 46. Jindrisek J. 91. Knejzlik K. 88. Kocka S. 26. Krejcik P. 6. Rozkovec O. 14. Stepanek O. 11. Vycital D.
Substitutes
9. Burianek M. 15. Firbacher M. 18. Flaska J. 13. Pandula D. 22. Simunek M. (G) 25. Skokan F. 12. Topolsky P.
18. Dedek L. (G) 9. Divis J. 8. Kovacik T. 7. Munzar S. 10. Podrazil A. 5. Sidlo J. . 48. Valenta O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Jindrisek J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Zelinger J. ⚽,
45', Krejcik P. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Zima J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kocka S. ↓, Kovacik T. ↑,
46', Zelinger J. ↓, Topolsky P. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Reil M. ⚽,
55', Gebert V. ↓, Valenta O. ↑,
62', Reil M. ↓, Firbacher M. ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Firbacher M. ⚽,
71', Vycital D. ↓, Divis J. ↑,
71', Krejcik P. ↓, Podrazil A. ↑,
75', Becicka M. ↓, Skokan F. ↑,
81', Vancura T. ↓, Burianek M. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Podrazil A. ⚽,
89', Podrazil A. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).
Pardubice B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Velké Hamry is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Velké Hamry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Pardubice B is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pardubice B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 2.3:3).
Including home match between the teams, Pardubice B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Pardubice B
8
4
2
2
16:8
8
14
16
Velke Hamry
9
1
1
7
7:23
-16
4
Last Results with these Odds
Pardubice B - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 48.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.