Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Paredes		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.52	5.5
	1.58	3.59	6.05
	1.53	3.65	5.9
	1.53	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.37)	3.6 ↓ (4.2)	5.71 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
58.9%

Draw
25.2%

Vila Meã
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

19.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paredes's form might have worsened.

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paredes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Paredes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vila Meã is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Paredes is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paredes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Paredes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Paredes - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gondomar - Paredes	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Paredes - Beira-Mar	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Paredes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTWW
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Vila Meã - Marco 09	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Oliveira do Douro - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Lamelas - Vila Meã	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vila Meã - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.11.23	Vila Meã - Paredes	0:3
23.01.22	Paredes - Vila Meã	2:0
24.10.21	Vila Meã - Paredes	0:1

Paredes - Vila Meã

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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