Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gondomar		Paredes

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.6	2.75	2.85
	2.5	2.77	2.76
	2.7	2.69	2.97
	2.5	2.85	2.81
	2.55	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.22)	2.78 ↓ (3)	2.82 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
35.4%

Draw
32.6%

Paredes
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gondomar's form might have worsened.

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gondomar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Paredes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gondomar - Oliveira do Douro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Salgueiros 08 - Gondomar	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Gondomar - Lamelas	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Gondomar - Vila Meã	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWW
- USC Paredes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.01.24	Paredes - Beira-Mar	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Paredes	1:4 ✺
14.01.24	Paredes - Amarante	1:3 ✺
07.01.24	Rebordosa - Paredes	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.10.23	Paredes - Gondomar	0:1
13.02.21	Paredes - Gondomar	0:1
04.11.20	Gondomar - Paredes	0:0
08.03.20	Paredes - Gondomar	3:0
27.10.19	Gondomar - Paredes	0:1
03.03.19	Paredes - Gondomar	0:0

Gondomar - Paredes

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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