Match Info

Premiere Ligue Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Gerbel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
France	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Mexico	FOX One
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	DAZN USA


	Paris FC		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.28
	3.04	2.85	2.58
	3.53	2.82	2.32	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.3
	3.14	3.25	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.28)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
29.5%

Draw
31.2%

Paris Saint-Germain
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paris FC - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chavas M. (G) 26. Liaigre F. 2. Hocine C. 29. Davis D. 3. Bogaert L. 24. Le Moguedec A. 4. Korosec K. 7. Garbino M. 27. Mendy M. 18. N'Dongala M. 10. Mateo C. (C)	1. Kiedrzynek K. (G) 5. De Almeida E. 29. Mbock G. 4. Dudek P. 77. Carmona O. 8. Yaya 6. Echegini J. 12. Isabela 7. Karchaoui S. (C) 20. Elimbi T. 30. Kanjinga M.
Substitutes
9. Azzaro L. 19. Greboval T. 22. Haheim N. 1. Marques I. (G) 21. Picard O. 15. Sangare H. 11. Scott S. 23. Sissoko T. 5. Sylla K.	10. Ajibade R. 22. Diakite T. 27. Earps M. (G) 21. Graziani O. 11. Jourde F. 47. Lafontaine M. 17. Leuchter R. 2. Samoura T. 33. Toussaint O. (G)
Coaches
Soubeyrand S.	Paulo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Carmona O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kanjinga M. ↓, Ajibade R. ↑,
60', Mendy M. ↓, Scott S. ↑,
60', Liaigre F. ↓, Picard O. ↑,
61', Scott S. 🟨,
66', Isabela ↓, Leuchter R. ↑,
74', Garbino M. ↓, Sangare H. ↑,
75', Elimbi T. ↓, Lafontaine M. ↑,
85', Yaya ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
87', Diakite T. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Sangare H. ⚽, Mateo C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:40. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.9:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSG W	4	4	0	0	8:1	7	12
3	Paris FC W	4	3	0	1	9:8	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC Women
French Division 1 Women
06.05.26	Paris FC - Lens	6:2 ✺
25.04.26	Dijon - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Montpellier - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France Women
04.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
French Division 1 Women
28.03.26	Paris FC - Fleury 91	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
Coupe De France Women
10.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - OL Lyonnes	1:4 ✺
French Division 1 Women
06.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Fleury 91 - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France Women
04.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France Women
04.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1
French Division 1 Women
07.02.26	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
20.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:0
11.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	3:0
Coupe De France Women
03.05.25	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 penalties
French Division 1 Women
15.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:0
07.12.24	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1

Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide