Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Tassano F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Parma		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.25	3.40	Watch
	1.83	3.36	4.41
	1.96	3.45	3.72	Watch
	1.79	3.30	4.35
	1.96	3.63	3.81	Watch
	1.93	3.20	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	3.9 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Parma
48.7%

Draw
27.5%

Ternana
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Parma - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ceasar C. (G) 4. Bou B. 25. Ambrosi C. (C) 20. Szymaszek W. 13. Merlo B. 6. Jorde J. 29. Uffren M. 18. Dominguez L. 26. Ekic E. 11. Healy E. 17. Distefano G.	12. Ciccioli G. (C) 29. Martins C. 6. Corrado H. 24. Massimino M. 5. Peruzzo L. 8. Pastrenge L. 21. Petrara M. 28. Yang Lina 15. Strode C. 23. Regazzoli A. 9. Hornemann S.
Substitutes
42. Bowie T. 21. Cavallin C. 22. Copetti M. (G) 24. Fierro F. (G) 28. Georgsdottir B. 27. Gueguen M. 2. Lobo I. 8. Pondini G. 7. Rabot I. 5. Sharts H. 77. Sondergard S. 16. Zappettini S.	16. Ciccotti C. 7. Gomes A. 17. Labate C. 10. Lazaro P. 19. Quazzico F. 1. Steen K. (G) 22. Testa S. 14. Toniolo M. 35. Ventriglia R.
Coaches
Valenti G.	Defendi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hornemann S. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Regazzoli A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Distefano G. ⚽, Healy E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Hornemann S. ⚽, Petrara M. (A),
54', Yang Lina ↓, Testa S. ↑,
55', Hornemann S. ↓, Ventriglia R. ↑,
58', Merlo B. ↓, Lobo I. ↑,
69', Dominguez L. 🟨,
76', Corrado H. ↓, Quazzico F. ↑,
76', Martins C. ↓, Labate C. ↑,
77', Pastrenge L. ↓, Ciccotti C. ↑,
78', Uffren M. ↓, Gueguen M. ↑,
78', Ekic E. ↓, Sondergard S. ↑,
87', Dominguez L. ↓, Cavallin C. ↑,
87', Szymaszek W. ↓, Bowie T. ↑,
90+4', Ciccotti C. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have struggled badly to pick up points in their latest fixtures.

Recently, Parma has faced a series of away games on the road.

Parma is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Parma has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 0.7:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Parma against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Parma W: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ternana W	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
9	Parma W	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Parma Women
Italian Serie A Women
26.09.26	Lazio - Parma	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
06.09.26	Napoli - Parma	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Lazio - Parma	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
13.08.26	Verona - Parma	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL
- Ternana Women
Italian Serie A Women
27.09.26	Ternana - Como	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
05.09.26	Sassuolo - Ternana	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Fiorentina - Ternana	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ternana - Roma	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
13.08.26	Ternana - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
04.04.26	Parma - Ternana	2:0
22.11.25	Ternana - Parma	0:0
Italian Serie B Women
11.05.25	Parma - Ternana	0:0

Parma - Ternana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide