Match Info

AFC Challenge League - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Changlimithang Stadium (Thimphu)


	Paro		Abu Muslim

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.35	2.92	3.05
	2.25	3.05	3.07
	2.13	3.17	3.25
	2.15	3.00	3.00
	2.34	2.90	3.37
	2.33	2.95	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paro
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

Abu Muslim
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Abu Muslim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Paro - Abu Muslim Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paro will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Mishima Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, Baldeh A. ⚽,
88', Hanifi M. 🟥,
90+1', Jafarzadeh A. 🟥,

Preview

Paro has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Abu Muslim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Paro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paro FC
Bhutan Premier League
03.08.26	Drukpa - Paro	1:3 ✺
28.07.26	Paro - Thimphu FC	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Tensung - Paro	1:3 ✺
16.07.26	Thimphu FC - Paro	1:5 ✺
08.07.26	Paro - Tensung	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Abu Muslim FC
AFC Challenge League
12.08.25	Paro - Abu Muslim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L

Latest Head to Head

AFC Challenge League
12.08.25	Paro - Abu Muslim	1:0

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