Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Paternò		FC Messina

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Paternò
50.1%

Draw
27.7%

FC Messina
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

20%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paternò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paternò's performance.

FC Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paternò that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Messina than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

FC Messina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paternò is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paternò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paternò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.11.21	Portici - Paternò	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Paternò - Lamezia Terme	0:2 ✺
10.11.21	Biancavilla - Paternò	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	San Luca - Paternò	0:0 ✺
01.11.21	Paternò - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTL
- FC Messina
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Trapani - FC Messina	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.11.21	FC Messina - Santa Maria Cilento	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Real Agro Aversa - FC Messina	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	FC Messina - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	FC Messina - Acireale	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLLWW

Paternò - FC Messina