Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Paternò		Lamezia Terme

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	4.22	3.48	1.7
	4.5	3.64	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.62)	3.51 ↑ (3.28)	1.69 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paternò
20.9%

Draw
25.7%

Lamezia Terme
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.2%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lamezia Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lamezia Terme's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamezia Terme than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lamezia Terme, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Paternò is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lamezia Terme is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lamezia Terme could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lamezia Terme will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paternò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paternò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Città di SantAgata - Paternò	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Paternò - Castrovillari	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Acireale - Paternò	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Paternò - Locri	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- FC Lamezia Terme
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.12.22	Lamezia Terme - Locri	1:3 ✺
13.11.22	Vibonese - Lamezia Terme	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Lamezia Terme - Licata	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	San Luca - Lamezia Terme	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
30.03.22	Lamezia Terme - Paternò	2:1
14.11.21	Paternò - Lamezia Terme	0:2

Paternò - Lamezia Terme: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide