The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Muangthong United 39.6%
Draw 27.4%
Pathum United 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
27.1%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
27.4%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muangthong United's performance.
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pathum United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muangthong United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pathum United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Muangthong United - Pathum United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Pathum United (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 6. Strauss J. 4. Tsonkov S. 28. Kim Dong-Su 27. Kempter M. 14. Panthong S. 23. Phosri S. 34. Khamyok K. 24. Ahannach A. 7. Willian Popp (C) 45. Saric M.
28. Anuin S. (G) 29. Jamnongwat W. 44. Dolah E. 16. Sandokhadze N. 17. Notsuda G. 6. Yooyen S. (C) 9. Sareepim S. 5. Kaman K. 18. Songkrasin C. 11. Gustavsson P. 81. Choolthong W.
Substitutes
30. Anulun N. 16. Chaikultewin W. 35. Chansri T. 18. Danuphon B. 13. Falconer J. P. 1. Gremsl A. (G) 22. Nuntagowat T. 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 39. Seangsawat K. 8. Tasa K. 17. Thodsanid P.
89. Buaphan C. 14. Doi T. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 22. James N. 27. Jantawong P. 95. Matheus Fornazari 15. Matsuda R. 2. Nonthasila S. 8. Panya E. 24. Pimoytha T. 31. Takagi Y. 30. Tippanet I.
Coaches
Borges J.
Vujovic V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Sareepim S. ⚽, Choolthong W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ahannach A. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
46', Jamnongwat W. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
50', Sareepim S. 🟨,
57', Sareepim S. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
57', Songkrasin C. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
59', Notsuda G. 🟨,
62', Panthong S. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Khamyok K. ⚽, Tasa K. (A),
67', Gustavsson P. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
72', Phosri S. 🟨,
78', Choolthong W. 🟨,
84', Phosri S. ↓, Danuphon B. ↑,
88', Saric M. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
90+2', Yooyen S. ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
90+3', Kempter M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 0.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Pathum United
4
1
2
1
6:6
0
5
Last Results with these Odds
Pathum United - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.45%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.