Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Pathum United		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.6	2	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.68	3.72	1.98
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.35	3.7	2.03	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.26)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	2.06 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
28.8%

Draw
25.9%

Johor Darul Takzim
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pathum United's form might have worsened.

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Johor Darul Takzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pathum United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Johor Darul Takzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Pathum United - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Johor will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 67.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bootprom C. (G) 55. Buaphan C. 5. Victor Cardozo 16. Praisuwan J. 23. Channgom S. 8. Thongkiri C. 6. Yooyen S. (C) 10. Dangda T. 36. Sukjitthammakul P. 7. Danilo Alves 18. Songkrasin C.	33. Hazmi S. (G) 2. Davies M. 5. Amat J. (C) 14. Lowry S. 22. Corbin-Ong L. 20. Muniz J. 4. Fazail A. 6. Hong Wan N. 37. Heberty 9. Bergson 42. Aiman A.
Substitutes
14. Alvarez F. 81. Choolthong W. 77. Gustavsson P. 13. Kelic R. 3. Lee-Oh S. 26. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 19. Samphaodi C. 9. Sareepim S. 33. Sawatlakhorn W. 11. Sergeyev I. 4. Veerachart C. 85. Waewdee I. (G)	28. Ahmad S. 15. Baharudin F. 23. Endrick 21. Faiz N. 45. Forestieri F. 1. Marlias F. (G) 8. Rahim S. 19. Rashid A. 17. Saifullah R. 13. Sumareh M. 91. Syahmi 7. Zafuan A.
Coaches
Sukkoki T.	Solari E.

Preview

Recent matches Pathum United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Johor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
29.09.23	Pathum United - Lamphun Warriors	3:0 ✺
25.09.23	Bangkok United - Pathum United	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Ulsan HD - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
Thai League 1
16.09.23	Pathum United - Muangthong United	5:2 ✺
28.08.23	Uthai Thani - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Super League
27.09.23	Johor Darul Takzim - PDRM FA	4:0 ✺
Malaysian Cup
23.09.23	Johor Darul Takzim - Negeri Sembilan	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Johor Darul Takzim - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Malaysian Cup
13.09.23	Negeri Sembilan - Johor Darul Takzim	0:3 ✺
Malaysian Super League
26.08.23	Kedah FA - Johor Darul Takzim	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLWT

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