Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Sultan Ibrahim Stadium (Johor Bahru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Johor Darul Takzim		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.06	3.72	2.23
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.18	3.65	2.13	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (5.3)	3.55 ↓ (4.1)	2.16 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johor Darul Takzim
30.4%

Draw
26.3%

Kawasaki Frontale
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

22.8%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

22.2%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johor Darul Takzim's performance.

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johor Darul Takzim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Johor Darul Takzim - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Johor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hazmi S. (G) 2. Davies M. 14. Lowry S. 5. Amat J. (C) 22. Corbin-Ong L. 6. Hong Wan N. 4. Fazail A. 20. Muniz J. 42. Aiman A. 9. Bergson 37. Heberty	1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 13. Yamane M. 3. Ominami T. 7. Kurumaya S. 2. Noborizato K. 8. Tachibanada K. (C) 16. Seko T. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 18. Gomis B.
Substitutes
28. Ahmad S. 15. Baharudin F. 11. Diogo 23. Endrick 21. Faiz N. 77. Kutty S. 1. Marlias F. (G) 8. Rahim S. 19. Rashid A. 81. Sham D. 13. Sumareh M. 91. Syahmi	22. Hayasaka Y. (G) 99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 11. Kobayashi Y. 9. Leandro Damiao 33. Miyashiro T. 5. Sasaki A. 6. Schmidt J. 30. Segawa Y. 29. Takai K. 17. Tono D. 20. Yamada S. 31. Yamamura K.
Coaches
Solari E.	Oniki T.

Preview

Johor in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kawasaki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Johor have a series of guest games.

Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Johor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Johor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johor Darul Takzim FC
Malaysian Cup
13.09.23	Negeri Sembilan - Johor Darul Takzim	0:3 ✺
Malaysian Super League
26.08.23	Kedah FA - Johor Darul Takzim	3:3 ✺
13.08.23	Johor Darul Takzim - Perak FA	5:0 ✺
09.08.23	Sabah FA - Johor Darul Takzim	1:5 ✺
Malaysian Cup
04.08.23	Kelantan - Johor Darul Takzim	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWWW
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
15.09.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
30.08.23	Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale	2:3 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
26.08.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Consadole Sapporo	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
24.04.22	Johor Darul Takzim - Kawasaki Frontale	0:5
21.04.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Johor Darul Takzim	0:0

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