The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patriotas 45.8%
Draw 29.9%
Tigres 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
26.1%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
27.1%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patriotas's form might have worsened.
Tigres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigres's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patriotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Patriotas - Tigres Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G)
3. Cano J.
13. Cuadros A.
15. Guzman S.
20. Ibarra C.
5. Jhon Renteria
6. Lopera J.
10. Mosquera K.
11. Palacios L.
19. Rativa D.
8. Salas Y.
Substitutes
26. Canon M.
21. Cardenas Pico S.
23. Frigerio M.
1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G)
27. Martinez J.
18. Mena W. S.
29. Ramirez Acosta J. P.
16. Villamil J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Figueroa F. ⚽,
16', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 4.
In recent matches, Patriotas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tigres is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Patriotas is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).