Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Tigres		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.98	2.22	Watch
	3.17	3	2.41
	3.42	2.98	2.26	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.25
	3.38	2.83	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	2.9 ↓ (3.32)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres
28.1%

Draw
31.6%

Real Cartagena
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Tigres - Real Cartagena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Cartagena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 9. Aragon O. 3. Cano J. 13. Cuadros A. 2. Florez S. 8. Mejia B. 10. Mosquera K. 11. Palacios L. 27. Preciado O. (C) 15. Quinonez B. 18. Viafara D.	22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 4. Barco S. 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. (C) 14. Pino D. 3. Redondo Garcia E. H. 21. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
17. Alvarez M. 19. Arrechea E. 7. Hincapie Gomez J. F. 21. Lopera J. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 24. Meneses J. 29. Rativa D. 30. Rosales R. 6. Valbuena S.	18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 15. Florez C. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 8. Guevara L. 25. Long H. 20. Nieva J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 29. Tamayo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Cuadros A. 🟨,
32', Pino D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Mosquera K. ↓, Arrechea E. ↑,
70', Rodriguez J. ↓, Guevara L. ↑,
70', Manotas M. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
70', Aragon O. ↓, Hincapie Gomez J. F. ↑,
82', Aleman J. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
82', Cuadros A. ↓, Valbuena S. ↑,
90+1', Melendez A. ↓, Tamayo F. ↑,
90+1', Redondo Garcia E. H. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
90+5', Tamayo F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 0.

Recent form of Tigres has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Cartagena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Cartagena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Real Cartagena - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
24.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	3:1 ✺
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Envigado - Tigres	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Tigres - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tigres - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTLW
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
21.02.26	Real Cartagena - Leones	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
22.08.25	Real Cartagena - Tigres	4:0
11.06.25	Tigres - Real Cartagena	1:1
29.05.25	Real Cartagena - Tigres	3:0
18.03.25	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:0
22.10.24	Real Cartagena - Tigres	3:1
06.06.24	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:1
24.05.24	Real Cartagena - Tigres	1:0

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