Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.05	3.00	3.50	Watch
	2.17	3.15	3.61
	2.07	3.18	3.68
	2.14	3.00	3.55
	2.08	2.94	3.51
	2.03	3.00	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	3.5 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
43.7%

Draw
30.1%

Unión Magdalena
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Patriotas - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Macea A. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 20. Arango E. 25. Bello Vivas S. E. 7. Campana J. 4. Hurtado J. 16. Molina T. 34. Palacios Y. 21. Renteria L. 38. Riuz J. 6. Torres F.	34. Tasso M. (G) 17. Arrieta G. 7. Blanco R. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. (C) 10. Mercado J. 6. Ortiz D. 5. Penaloza J. 25. Sagrera W. 28. Salazar K. 16. Surmay O.
Substitutes
18. Angulo J. 12. Colombiano (G) 8. Copete C. 9. Montes J. 3. Montien T. 11. Mora A. 22. Porras A. 17. Seguro A. 5. Zapata E.	1. Cabezas V. (G) 24. Cervantes M. 22. Giraldo J. 9. Iguaran C. 18. Molina F. 8. Prado V. 15. Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Riuz J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Arrieta G. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Blanco R. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
79', 🟥,
83', 🟨,
90', 🟥,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 2.

Patriotas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Unión Magdalena has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Patriotas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Patriotas holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Patriotas in today's match, at odds of 2.1.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Patriotas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Magdalena - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
13.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Patriotas - Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Patriotas - Tigres	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	4:1 ✺
24.08.26	Patriotas - Atlético Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
12.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Tigres - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	2:1
Colombian Primera A
03.10.22	Patriotas - Unión Magdalena	3:1
09.04.22	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	0:1
03.10.19	Patriotas - Unión Magdalena	1:1
06.04.19	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	4:0
Colombian Copa
03.08.17	Patriotas - Unión Magdalena	2:0 penalties
12.07.17	Unión Magdalena - Patriotas	3:2

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