Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Patrocinense		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	2.88
	2.38	3.1	2.92
	2.4	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrocinense
38.1%

Draw
30.5%

Ferroviária
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrocinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patrocinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Patrocinense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Piracicaba - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Patrocinense - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Ferroviária - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Patrocinense - Maringá	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Patrocinense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTTW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Ferroviária - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	FC Cascavel - Ferroviária	1:5 ✺
07.06.23	Ferroviária - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Ferroviária - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Ferroviária - Patrocinense	1:1
01.08.21	Patrocinense - Ferroviária	0:2
10.07.21	Ferroviária - Patrocinense	1:0

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