Match Info

USA: USL League Two

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Patuxent Football Athletics		Northern Virginia

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.6	1.41
	4.91	5.16	1.38
	5.31	5.3	1.41	Watch
	5.87	4.95	1.38
	5.4	4.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (5.18)	4.94 ↑ (4.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patuxent Football Athletics
17%

Draw
18.4%

Northern Virginia
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

20.1%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

19.7%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patuxent Football Athletics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Northern Virginia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patuxent Football Athletics than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Virginia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Patuxent Football Athletics - Northern Virginia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Patuxent is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Northern Virginia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Northern Virginia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Northern Virginia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Patuxent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Patuxent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patuxent Football Athletics
USL League Two
10.07.24	Patuxent Football Athletics - Lionsbridge	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Charlottesville Blues - Patuxent Football Athletics	1:0 ✺
12.06.24	Christos - Patuxent Football Athletics	3:1 ✺
08.06.24	Patuxent Football Athletics - Virginia Beach United	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Virginia Marauders - Patuxent Football Athletics	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Northern Virginia FC
USL League Two
07.07.24	Christos - Northern Virginia	0:3 ✺
03.07.24	Northern Virginia - Virginia Marauders	9:0 ✺
19.06.24	Northern Virginia - Virginia Beach United	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Charlottesville Blues - Northern Virginia	3:2 ✺
01.06.24	Northern Virginia - Christos	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League Two
18.05.24	Northern Virginia - Patuxent Football Athletics	2:1
01.07.23	Patuxent Football Athletics - Northern Virginia	1:2
13.05.23	Northern Virginia - Patuxent Football Athletics	1:0
19.06.22	Patuxent Football Athletics - Northern Virginia	2:3

Patuxent Football Athletics - Northern Virginia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide