Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Paulista		Desportivo Brasil

	1	X	2
	1.72	3	4.95
	1.76	2.98	4.73
	1.76	3.08	4.98	Watch
	1.8	2.9	4.6
	1.74	3.04	5.06
	1.76	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.71)	3 ↓ (3.27)	4.85 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
51.3%

Draw
30.1%

Desportivo Brasil
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

24.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The chances for Desportivo Brasil have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Paulista - Desportivo Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Camilo (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, Mykael ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Monteiro W. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

In recent matches, Paulista has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Desportivo Brasil's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Paulista is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Marília - Paulista	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Rio Claro - Paulista	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Paulista - Itapirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTLT
- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Portuguesa Santista	0:4 ✺
04.02.26	Francana - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Desportivo Brasil - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Desportivo Brasil - EC São Bernardo	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	União Suzano - Desportivo Brasil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLW

Paulista - Desportivo Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide