Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Paulista		Portuguesa Santista

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.82	2.88
	2.54	2.69	2.94
	2.46	2.75	3.09	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.52	2.72	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)	2.72 ↓ (2.91)	2.94 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulista
36.1%

Draw
33.2%

Portuguesa Santista
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Paulista - Portuguesa Santista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Pavani ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Christopher ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, Tico ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paulista won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Paulista won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.03.26	Catanduva - Paulista	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Paulista - União São João	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	União Suzano - Paulista	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Paulista - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWT
- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Francana	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	União São João - Portuguesa Santista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0

Paulista - Portuguesa Santista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide