The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pavia 22.8%
Draw 25.1%
Villa Valle 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
24.6%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
23.8%
52.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Villa Valle aligns with the current prediction.
Pavia - Villa Valle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
Pavia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa Valle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Villa Valle has had a series of home games.
Villa Valle will hold a modest advantage in this match.