Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Pavia		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.3	1.9
	3.42	3.35	1.97
	3.2	3.4	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.8)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	1.97 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pavia
26.8%

Draw
27.1%

Folgore Caratese
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.4%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavia's performance.

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folgore Caratese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Pavia - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Folgore Caratese is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pavia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Folgore Caratese has had a series of home games.

Folgore Caratese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pavia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pavia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Oltrepo - Pavia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.25	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Play Out
12.05.19	Pavia - San Marino	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.04.19	Mezzolara - Pavia	1:2 ✺
14.04.19	San Marino - Pavia	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WTLWW
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Leon	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Vogherese - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.25	Folgore Caratese - Milan U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.25	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group A
17.01.18	Pavia - Folgore Caratese	2:1
13.09.17	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	2:1

Upcoming Matches