Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Peña Balsamaiso		River Ebro

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.5	2.17
	2.87	3.48	2.13
	2.91	3.58	2.15
	2.94	3.48	2.12
	2.85	3.5	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.21)	3.51 ↓ (3.56)	2.15 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Balsamaiso
31.6%

Draw
26%

River Ebro
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.

River Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Ebro's recent form is better than expected.

Peña Balsamaiso - River Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Achi ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Ebro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.04.25	Oyonesa - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Berceo	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Varea	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Náxara - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL
- CA River Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
27.04.25	River Ebro - Berceo	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Casalarreina - River Ebro	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - River Ebro	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Comillas - River Ebro	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Haro Deportivo - River Ebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.12.24	River Ebro - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0
16.12.23	Peña Balsamaiso - River Ebro	2:1
05.03.23	Peña Balsamaiso - River Ebro	2:1
30.10.22	River Ebro - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0

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