Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Espanyol B

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.26	3.15	2.9
	2.42	3.15	3.07
	2.34	3.03	3.03	Watch
	2.32	3.18	2.97
	2.26	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)	2.95 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
39.6%

Draw
29.4%

Espanyol B
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

31.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Espanyol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol B than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Almansa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', Angelito 🟥,
85', 0 - 2, Catala J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 1.

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Espanyol B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.10.24	Torrent - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Peña Deportiva - Valencia B	3:0 ✺
29.09.24	Badalona Futur - Peña Deportiva	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Peña Deportiva - Terrassa	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Atlético Baleares - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWL
- Espanyol B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.10.24	Espanyol B - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Mallorca B - Espanyol B	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Espanyol B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Alzira - Espanyol B	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Espanyol B - Olot	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.02.24	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	2:1
15.10.23	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	1:1
16.04.23	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:0
04.12.22	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	0:1
24.04.22	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	1:0
05.12.21	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	0:3
16.05.21	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	1:3

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