Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.40	2.10
	2.55	3.35	2.33
	2.91	3.65	2.14
	2.93	3.57	2.12	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.11
	2.91	3.74	2.13	Watch
	2.73	3.41	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.73)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
32.1%

Draw
25.9%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.9%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1%)

Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Dziegielewski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Manikowski M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Supera K. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Czeczko M. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelikan won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pelikan won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelikan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.8:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pelikan	11	6	2	3	17:13	4	20
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20

Last Results with these Odds

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Mławianka Mława - Pelikan Łowicz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1
27.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:3
13.04.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
16.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1
17.06.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:2
20.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2

Upcoming Matches