Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.40	3.60
	1.82	3.45	3.50
	2.00	3.38	3.17
	1.68	3.83	4.26	Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.10
	1.78	3.54	3.89	Watch
	1.93	3.37	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	3.53 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
48.5%

Draw
26%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 3.

Wigry is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Świt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wigry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20

Last Results with these Odds

Wigry Suwałki - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 45.88%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.1 TWTWW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.05.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2
15.11.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	2:3
18.04.25	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1
21.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:3
Club Friendly
23.01.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	2:2
Polish Cup
23.07.16	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:1

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