Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 23

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Concordia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.5	14.7	Watch
	1.2	5.5	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.45)	6.5 ↑ (4.25)	10.68 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
77.6%

Draw
13.9%

Concordia Elbląg
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelikan Łowicz's performance.

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concordia Elbląg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelikan Łowicz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concordia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg Predictions

Users Predictions: Pelikan Łowicz will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Soltysinski S. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Soltysinski S. ⚽,
16', 3 - 0, Czeczko M. ⚽,
39', 4 - 0, Lojszczyk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
64', 5 - 0, Jendryczko K. ⚽,
70', 6 - 0, Czeczko M. ⚽,
83', 7 - 0, Czeczko M. ⚽,
90+1', 8 - 0, Pawlicki J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 2.

Pelikan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Concordia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concordia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pelikan is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pelikan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.03.24	Broń Radom - Pelikan Łowicz	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Legia II	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Elana Toruń - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWTT
- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - Legia II	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Concordia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Concordia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.24	Concordia Elbląg - Stolem Gniewino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2
07.04.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0
04.09.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
22.05.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	1:2
14.03.21	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1
22.09.19	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	4:1
09.04.17	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	2:2

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