Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 33

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Legionovia Legionowo

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.75
	1.42	4.91	5
	1.42	4.93	5.01
	1.38	4.75	6.18	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)	4.7 ↑ (4)	5.53 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
64.4%

Draw
19.3%

Legionovia Legionowo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

18.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelikan Łowicz's performance.

Legionovia Legionowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelikan Łowicz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legionovia Legionowo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bieganski A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Pawlicki J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 1, Lojszczyk K. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Legionowo is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 1.

Pelikan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legionowo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Legionowo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pelikan is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Pelikan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.05.24	Wikielec - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Warta Sieradz	3:2 ✺
15.05.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Pelikan Łowicz	4:0 ✺
11.05.24	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łomża	1:5 ✺
04.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.05.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Legia II	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1 ✺
15.05.24	Legionovia Legionowo - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
12.05.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legionovia Legionowo	4:0 ✺
03.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.11.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	0:3
30.04.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1
24.09.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	4:1
11.05.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1
10.10.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2
21.03.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2
19.05.19	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1

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