Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		Legionovia Legionowo

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.2	3
	1.88	3.67	3.63	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2)	3.86 ↑ (3.55)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
50.1%

Draw
23.5%

Legionovia Legionowo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

24.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Legionovia Legionowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Malinowski P. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Parobczyk R. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Romanowicz J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zambrów won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Zambrów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zambrów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Zambrów won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Zambrów won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.24	Wikielec - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Olimpia Zambrów	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.24	Legionovia Legionowo - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
12.05.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legionovia Legionowo	4:0 ✺
03.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Wikielec	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Warta Sieradz - Legionovia Legionowo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Olimpia Zambrów	0:0
14.03.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	0:2
13.08.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Olimpia Zambrów	1:2
07.11.20	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	1:4
01.06.19	Legionovia Legionowo - Olimpia Zambrów	3:2
20.10.18	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1
Polish Division 2
04.03.17	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	1:5

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