Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.6
	2.12	3.45	2.95
	1.95	3.73	3.07
	2.1	3.5	3.08
	2.12	3.62	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.2)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.96 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
43.4%

Draw
25.8%

Stomil Olsztyn
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+2%)

Pelikan Łowicz - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Sionkowski K. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Sionkowski K. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Olpinski A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pelikan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Pelikan Łowicz - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Legia II	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Mławianka Mława - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWWL
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.25	GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Legia II - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.10.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2
Club Friendly
11.02.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Pelikan Łowicz	3:2

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