Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.75
	1.8	3.75	3.6
	1.78	3.68	3.65
	1.79	3.85	3.68	Watch
	1.82	3.95	3.74	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	3.5 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
49.4%

Draw
24.5%

Stomil Olsztyn
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GKS Bełchatów's performance.

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stomil Olsztyn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Bełchatów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stomil Olsztyn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 2.

Bełchatów is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stomil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stomil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	2:4 ✺
29.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Legia II - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	Wikielec - Stomil Olsztyn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.10.24	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Bełchatów	1:1
Polish Division 1
10.04.21	GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn	2:3
04.10.20	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Bełchatów	0:0
16.11.19	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Bełchatów	0:1
27.07.19	GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn	3:0
20.11.15	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Bełchatów	0:2
01.08.15	GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1

GKS Bełchatów - Stomil Olsztyn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide