Match Info

1. MFL - Round 9

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Pelister		Shkendija Tetovo

	1	X	2
	9.4	4.65	1.26
	10.13	4.75	1.26
	8.45	3.91	1.41	Watch
	9.4	4.55	1.3
	7.5	4.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.98 ↑ (6)	4.42 ↑ (3.75)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelister
10.2%

Draw
20.6%

Shkendija Tetovo
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

24%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

23.5%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shkendija Tetovo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shkendija Tetovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shkendija Tetovo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovcevski A. (G) 23. Belic D. 28. Bulatovic L. 6. Grozdanovski H. 21. Krstevski G. 34. Milenkovski F. 29. Mrmachovski J. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. (C) 15. Stojanovski H. 5. Zdravkovic N.	25. Amzai A. (G) 6. Alhassan A. 3. Belica E. 19. Krstevski V. 20. Mazari A. 26. Meliqi A. 8. Ramadani F. (C) 49. Spahiu S. 2. Trumci A. 11. Webster R. 17. Zejnullai A.
Substitutes
90. Dimovski N. (G) 3. Fejzulovski E. 44. Ivanovski M. 2. Ivanovski S. 7. Kerim V. 24. Naumoski J. 8. Petkovski P. 4. Ristevski A. 9. Ristic P. 27. Todoroski F.	9. Ademi F. 22. Ajetovikj N. 15. Fetai I. 7. Ibraimi B. 27. Kaba L. 10. Krasniqi E. 77. Latifi L. 16. Murati M. 28. Qaka K. 30. Ramani F. (G) 29. Tamba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Krstevski G. 🟨,
36', Bulatovic L. ↓, Ristic P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramadani F. ↓, Ibraimi B. ↑,
46', Mazari A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
49', Stojanovski H. 🟨,
58', Trumci A. 🟨,
59', Krstevski V. ↓, Latifi L. ↑,
59', Spahiu S. ↓, Tamba F. ↑,
74', Belica E. 🟨,
77', Alhassan A. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
82', Ristic P. ↓, Ivanovski M. ↑,
85', Zejnullai A. 🟨,
88', Ristovski M. 🟨,
90+2', Ristovski M. ↓, Todoroski F. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 0.

Pelister has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shkendija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shkendija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shkendija is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 9:42. (average 0.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelister won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:23. (average 0.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.09.25	Struga - Pelister	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Pelister - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Rabotnički - Pelister	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pelister - Arsimi	0:4 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
03.09.25	Teteks - Pelister	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Shkendija Tetovo
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
28.09.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Sileks	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Rabotnički - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Struga - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.03.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	1:0
24.11.24	Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1
31.08.24	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	2:0
06.04.22	Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo	0:2
05.12.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	2:1
28.08.21	Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo	2:2
14.03.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	1:0

Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide