Match Info

1. MFL - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Pelister		Arsimi

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4
	2.84	2.00	4.38	Watch
	1.76	3.2	4.59
	1.7	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.6)	4.27 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pelister
47%

Draw
30.9%

Arsimi
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelister, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Pelister - Arsimi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovcevski A. (G) 23. Belic D. 11. Boskovski F. 28. Bulatovic L. 6. Grozdanovski H. 24. Naumoski J. 4. Ristevski A. (C) 9. Ristic P. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. 15. Stojanovski H.	1. Islami V. (C) 7. Asani S. 3. Avduli X. 88. Besagic A. 16. Dardhishta M. 5. Drljevic A. 10. Gafuri A. 67. Jahiji D. 4. Mustafa S. 17. Olatunbosun S. 25. Perovic D.
Substitutes
90. Dimovski N. (G) 2. Ivanovski S. 7. Kerim V. 21. Krstevski G. 8. Petkovski P. 12. Petrovski I. (G) 27. Todoroski F. 30. Zdravevski B. 5. Zdravkovic N.	18. Ajdini R. 34. Beljulji M. 6. Cuculi A. 15. Dzemaili S. 20. Huric M. 8. Ignatov L. 12. Ismaili A. (G) 11. Ramadani A. 98. Shefiti S. 99. Siljanovski D. (G) 9. Taipi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ristic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', Jahiji D. 🟨,
62', Perovic D. ↓, Shefiti S. ↑,
63', Spirovski S. ↓, Petkovski P. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Besagic A. ⚽,
67', Gafuri A. ↓, Beljulji M. ↑,
67', Jahiji D. ↓, Ignatov L. ↑,
69', Ristic P. ↓, Todoroski F. ↑,
76', Asani S. ↓, Taipi A. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Taipi A. ⚽,
84', Ristovski M. ↓, Zdravevski B. ↑,
84', Ristevski A. ↓, Krstevski G. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Shefiti S. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 4, Ignatov L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation)).

Pelister has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsimi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pelister may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pelister has had a series of away games.

In this match, Pelister is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelister won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pelister
North Macedonian Cup
03.09.25	Teteks - Pelister	1:2 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.08.25	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Pelister	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Pelister - Shkupi	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	AP Brera Strumica - Pelister	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Vardar - Pelister	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWL
- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
30.08.25	Arsimi - Sileks	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
27.08.25	Belasica - Arsimi	3:2 penalties ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Arsimi	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Arsimi - Struga	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Arsimi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 2 MFL
13.04.24	Pelister - Arsimi	3:0
21.10.23	Arsimi - Pelister	1:1
04.03.23	Pelister - Arsimi	3:1

Pelister - Arsimi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide