Match Info

1. MFL - Round 11

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Pelister		Tikveš

	1	X	2
	3.15	3	2.15
	2.68	3.07	2.54	Watch
	3.29	3	2.17
	2.6	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelister
31.1%

Draw
30.2%

Tikveš
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Tikveš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Pelister - Tikveš Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pelister will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tikveš will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pelister (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovcevski A. (G) 23. Belic D. 28. Bulatovic L. 6. Grozdanovski H. 44. Ivanovski M. (C) 7. Kerim V. 21. Krstevski G. 34. Milenkovski F. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. 5. Zdravkovic N.	1. Stevkovski H. (G) 10. Ivanovski I. 14. Jonus R. 77. Milovanovikj D. 20. Najdovski N. (C) 11. Petrovic M. 6. Ramadani B. 9. Sadik B. 24. Stojkoski K. 23. Todorov M. 21. Varelovski A.
Substitutes
90. Dimovski N. (G) 2. Ivanovski S. 29. Mrmachovski J. 24. Naumoski J. 8. Petkovski P. 4. Ristevski A. 9. Ristic P. 15. Stojanovski H. 27. Todoroski F.	34. Ackovski K. 82. Bentley 30. Gjorgjievski K. 96. Ilieski D. 3. Jakovljevic A. 15. Mishov A. 5. Mojsov D. 22. Rajchinovski R. 7. Stojanov M. 8. Tasev D. 90. Tasev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Varelovski A. 🟨,
60', Sadik B. ↓, Stojanov M. ↑,
60', Milovanovikj D. ↓, Mishov A. ↑,
68', Jonus R. ↓, Ackovski K. ↑,
76', Kerim V. ↓, Ristic P. ↑,
76', Krstevski G. ↓, Mrmachovski J. ↑,
79', Spirovski S. 🟨,
85', Ackovski K. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 9 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 2.

Pelister is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tikveš has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tikveš may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelister won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tikveš - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
26.10.25	Sileks - Pelister	3:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
21.10.25	Shkëndija Haraçinë - Pelister	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.25	Pelister - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.10.25	Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Struga - Pelister	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLWTL
- GFK Tikveš
North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.10.25	Tikveš - Arsimi	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Sileks - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Tikveš - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Tikveš - Shkupi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.04.25	Pelister - Tikveš	1:0
23.02.25	Tikveš - Pelister	1:2
05.10.24	Pelister - Tikveš	0:0
01.05.22	Pelister - Tikveš	1:1
20.02.22	Tikveš - Pelister	1:0
02.10.21	Pelister - Tikveš	0:0
Club Friendly
28.01.20	Pelister - Tikveš	2:1

Pelister - Tikveš: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide