Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Penarol		4 de Julho

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.3
	2.65	3.05	2.37
	2.69	3.09	2.4
	2.62	3.25	2.3
	2.7	3.3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.96)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penarol
33.7%

Draw
28.2%

4 de Julho
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penarol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 4 de Julho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

1st leg.

Penarol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches 4 de Julho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Penarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penarol AC
Brazilian Serie D
05.09.21	Penarol - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Castanhal - Penarol	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Penarol - Fast Clube	2:1 ✺
15.08.21	Galvez - Penarol	1:3 ✺
08.08.21	Penarol - Atlético Acreano	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWWW
- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.09.21	4 de Julho - SE Juventude	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Imperatriz de Desportos - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	4 de Julho - Palmas	1:2 ✺
07.08.21	4 de Julho - Guarany de Sobral	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLL

Penarol - 4 de Julho

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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