Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tocantinópolis		4 de Julho

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	1.97	3	3.5
	1.99	2.93	3.55
	1.8	3.25	4
	2.03	3.13	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	3.62 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
45.6%

Draw
29.6%

4 de Julho
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

30%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tocantinópolis's performance.

4 de Julho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 4 de Julho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tocantinópolis will win (votes: 4 - 40%). 4 de Julho will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tocantinópolis: 9.6% – 70.4%.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tocantinópolis will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.06.22	Castanhal - Tocantinópolis	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Castanhal	4:1 ✺
21.05.22	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
14.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWTWL
- 4 de Julho EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.06.22	4 de Julho - SE Juventude	2:2 ✺
28.05.22	SE Juventude - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
21.05.22	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
15.05.22	Fluminense Piaui - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	4 de Julho - Castanhal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.05.22	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	2:2
21.08.21	Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho	0:2
19.06.21	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	1:1

Tocantinópolis - 4 de Julho