Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Peniche		Montalegre

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Peniche
27.8%

Draw
27.5%

Montalegre
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.3%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peniche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Peniche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	Peniche - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.09.23	Peniche - Marinhense	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.09.23	União de Santarém - Peniche	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Peniche - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Sertanense - Peniche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WWWLL
- CDC Montalegre
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.09.23	Montalegre - Camacha	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Montalegre - Mirandela	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Dumiense - Montalegre	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Montalegre - Fafe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWT

Taça de Portugal
30.09.18	Peniche - Montalegre	1:3

Peniche - Montalegre