The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penya Encarnada 9.2%
Draw 17.8%
FC Santa Coloma 73%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.3%
19.1%
69.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.9%
18.4%
72.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penya Encarnada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
FC Santa Coloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Penya Encarnada - FC Santa Coloma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Becerra J. (G) 5. Ahumada R. 4. Escobar Acuna R. A. 14. Farhat D. 8. Garcia J. 6. Henrique A. 25. Llorente D. 18. Mansilla D. 2. Mesquita Lopes de Souza R. M. 27. Pinilla I. 10. Rony J.
13. Ruiz A. (G) 3. Alvarez M. 18. Arjona A. 17. Becerra J. 7. Betancor Y. 16. Carro M. 11. Esteban H. 28. Junca D. 9. Lopez G. 14. Rubio J. 23. San Nicolas M.
Substitutes
17. Baileyeghn N. 50. Maqueda Boa A. (G) 12. Ricardo A. 47. Rodriguez C. 20. Tchamba D. 23. Vallotti T.
19. Andreu S. 22. Awana A. 8. Barrenetxea I. 10. Cheki 77. Crespo D. 21. Ferreira Silva H. 25. Rabelo M. (G) 15. Rodriguez S. 5. Ross M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penya won 0.
Penya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
FC Santa Coloma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Penya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Penya has had a series of home games.
In this match, FC Santa Coloma is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Penya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Penya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).