The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penya Encarnada 78.3%
Draw 15.5%
La Massana 6.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
19.6%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.6%
18.4%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penya Encarnada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penya Encarnada's performance.
La Massana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Massana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penya Encarnada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Massana than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Massana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penya Encarnada - La Massana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Olmo M. (G) 9. de Jesus F. 5. Figueiras D. 8. Garcia J. 10. Ismael R. 3. Laffont Q. 14. Nava J. 19. Quirarte F. 12. Ricardo A. 4. Sanchez E. 2. Victor de Paula
1. Meireles D. M. (G) 20. Baaloul A. 14. Bernat V. 3. Folvert V. 4. Martinez J. 6. Mazzarino G. 16. Meireles N. 10. Nath K. 9. Sanchez A. 2. Zuquetti M.
Substitutes
13. Ferreiro L. (G) 25. Rafael M.
13. del Toro J. 5. Diaz P. F. 17. Goes E. 19. Kake R. 7. Londero H. 30. Morales E. A. 8. Moreno Sanz J. J. 23. Navarro C. B. 25. Robles 15. Rodriguez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Zuquetti M. 🟨,
18', Sanchez E. 🟨,
18', Martinez J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Nava J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zuquetti M. ↓, Kake R. ↑,
46', Morales E. A. ↓, Navarro C. B. ↑,
51', Bernat V. 🟨,
55', Meireles N. 🟨,
65', Meireles N. ↓, Diaz P. F. ↑,
65', Meireles N. ↓, Diaz P. F. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Ismael R. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Recent matches Penya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
La Massana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
La Massana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Penya is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Penya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0